TRADEPAPPY▼ TAILWIND
Oil and yields easing. Stocks have the wind behind them.
IS THE WIND WITH THE DOW,
OR AGAINST IT?OIL × YIELDS → US STOCKS, READ OFF REAL CME FUTURES, LIVE.
TradePappy watches E-mini Dow, WTI crude and 10-year Treasury futures and turns them into one word: TAILWIND, HEADWIND, MIXED or NEUTRAL. With the candles underneath, the yield level against the 5% line, a divergence alarm when the Dow fights its own macro, and alerts to your phone when the regime flips.
It is a regime gauge, not a tipster. It never says buy or sell. It tells you what kind of tape you are trading in, so a rally on a hot CPI morning reads as "oil is doing the work" instead of "this makes no sense".
▲ HEADWIND
Oil and yields rising. Stocks are fighting the wind.
◆ MIXED
The legs disagree. Yields win the tiebreak.
─ NEUTRAL
No macro pressure either way.
TWO MORNINGS, ONE GLANCE
10 SEP 2026 · PPI DAY
▲ HEADWIND
WTI +4%, 10-year yields +8bp, Dow -0.6%. The model implied -0.62%; the Dow did -0.64%. Nothing to explain: the macro was the story.
11 SEP 2026 · CPI DAY
▼ TAILWIND
Core CPI printed hot and hike odds jumped, yet the Dow rallied 1.1%. Crude had dumped 5% the same morning. Oil down, yields flat: tailwind. The rally was not crazy, and the deck said so at 09:00 Chicago.
Both days are built into the deck as replays, so you can watch them unfold minute by minute before you pay a cent. Then load any trading day since 2020.
WHAT YOU GET
- Five signals on one screen: Macro Pressure, The 5% Line, Oil Shock, Dow Tape, Risk Dial. Every state is a word plus a glyph, readable without colour.
- Candlesticks for every leg with the window start and anchor price marked, so the number in the panel is visible in the chart.
- Four windows: five minutes, thirty minutes, the Globex session, the US cash session. Flip between them with one key.
- The tape: every regime change, timestamped in Chicago time. Notifications and a beep on the desk; Telegram, webhook or email on your phone.
- Scheduled events drawn on the charts and counted down in the header, so MIXED at 07:31 on CPI day reads as expected, not as a signal.
- Honesty built in: STALE when data is older than fifteen seconds, CLOSED when CME is closed, and a published backtest that says plainly how little any two numbers explain about the Dow. The state is a description of the wind, never a forecast.
PRICING
FREE
$0
- All five signals, 15 minutes delayed
- All four windows
- Replay of the two reference mornings
- The full guide
PRO
$15 / month USD, cancel any time; access runs to the end of the period you have paid for
- Real-time CME data, streamed
- The divergence alarm
- The tape, notifications, phone alerts
- Review any trading day since 2020
- JSON API with your own keys
Billing is handled by Stripe. Your card details never touch our servers. Manage or cancel from the customer portal at any time; access runs to the end of the period you have paid for.
WHO MAKES THIS
TradePappy is a product of Ingeniant LLC, a software and data engineering company. The deck is built on CME Globex market data delivered by Databento, and on a simple idea from a real trading morning: when the news says one thing and the index does another, look at oil and yields first.
TradePappy describes the current state of the market. Nothing on it is investment advice, a trade signal, or a recommendation to buy or sell anything. Futures and CFDs carry a substantial risk of loss and are not suitable for everyone.
Terms of service · Privacy · User guide · The deck
Terms of service · Privacy · User guide · The deck